Many of us think that the first war between the two countries was the first gulf war. And that is incorrect information. The history goes back even before the Persian empire, if any of you read the history between the two countries; you will see that approximately every 100 years one of the two takes over the other. Unfortunately it seems that now it is the Persian’s time to take over Mesopotamia.
Reasons to war, occupation and colonization have been changed through the history. A thousand years ago they were reasons to expand an empire, search water, good land to harvest or the desire to have a strategic geographical location. But nowadays reasons for war are different. In the coming decade Iran will be out of oil and will rely on its gas that will eventually finish and it needs a source of energy to maintain and operate its ships, factories, nuclear submarine and its nuclear reactors. Therefore as skilled and very well practiced politicians; the Iranian administration has its eye on the Iraqi wells as a major objective, and to put its hands on the eastern gate to the Arab countries (Iraq) and eventually expanding and spreading the Shia mazhab.
The Persian-American struggle and the Persian-Israeli struggle is pure fake and forged. They are not enemies on the contrary they are allies. Think of it this way; two friends have their eyes on a girl and not necessarily they should be enemies. The history of the Iranian-Israeli relationships has its roots to the times of the Shah Riza Pahlavi. The Shah met a good number of Israelis in Tehran and the meetings were managed by members of the Iraqi Kurds militia at the time only to provide and exchange classified information about Iraq and how can they change the regime, giving the Kurds independence, and funding the Kurds. The Kurds were both funded by the Iranians and by the Israelis.
It is an American, Persian and Zionist conspiracy on Iraq. Iraq has been a complicated mix of Intelligence agencies. We can find the Israeli (Mossad) that operates its offices all over Iraq mainly in the Kurdish area and in the far South , we can find Turkish, Jordanian, Iranian, American C.I.A, the British MI6, Saudi, Syrian and the list goes on. It has become not only a complicated mixture but a field of personal vendetta. and that fields fits perfectly well for vendettas because Iraq is a country with many ethnic groups.
The intelligence agencies do not have to do the dirty work themselves, they simply have followers from these ethnic groups doing their dirty job for them. And it is no secret even if Iran denies it, that Iran is funding the Sadr Militia and the Badr Militia and smuggling them weapons that are Iranian made. The ministry of defence, ministry of health and the ministry of interior are administered by the Iranians in Iraq. And the Americans know that very well but they tend to keep a blind eye on it.
The Iranian Intelligence agency in Iraq has lists of very skilled Iraqi Doctors, Lawyers, Scientists, Engineers, Teachers…etc. That are being killed on a daily basis or given a choice to leave the country. Iran wants to return Iraq to the era of ignorance. Just like colonization, leaving the people not understanding and not having knowledge what is going on in their country while the colonizer is achieving his personal interests and goals without the need of getting into trouble facing some rebellions and protests.
I assume we do all agree that Iran and the United States are both committing crimes against humanity in Iraq. And there is something going on that I don’t think many of you are recognizing. And that is; when ever the United States experiences a high number of causalities in soldiers and artillery you will immediately find on the news the topic of Iran’s nuclear program. You will find the United States threatening, the EU is not pleased, and they are making a meeting to impose sanctions. And when ever the united States is somehow relaxed in Iraq, you will find them welcoming the Iranian statements in the media, the EU is pleased with the negotiations and so on. You can consider this as a scale.
The scenario that I can see clearly is that when ever the United States wishes to withdraw from Iraq, it will put all the killings that have been made since the beginning of the occupation; will put them all in the Iranian pocket saying that all these crimes Iran has committed in Iraq and that we (USA) came to free the Iraqi people. We both know that both countries are committing crimes on a daily basis.
What freedom and liberation are they talking about? Governments nowadays lie and lie to their people until they believe them and go to war, this is very ridiculous. the United Nations documented files stating that during the 35 years of the rule of President Saddam Hussein; only 350 thousand Iraqis have been killed. And the United States officially announced that 1,209,000 Iraqis have been killed since the end of the war which means during 5 years. Not counting the Iraqis have been killed during the war and during the embargo on Iraq that killed 1,000,000 Iraqi children due to diseases of all kinds mainly cancer. The History of both countries is packed with blood. The united states was established on the basis of the blood of millions of Red Indians.
What a huge gap; between 1,209,000 in 5 years and 350,000 in 35 years. What kind of liberation is that? I think the Americans have a different meaning of liberation other than the universal one we all know.
The United States will not invade Iran nor it will strike Iran for a number of reasons. First it is not capable of engaging itself in a third war in the same region. Second its losing billions of dollars rather than gaining from the Iraqi oil. Third, to secure the Gulf countries from an Iranian reply to their Strike. So the coming Scenario in my opinion is to change the Iranian Regime from the inside, and I think the Americans are working on it. And it is very easy to segregate Iran into small states, because Iran is geographically huge, it contains many ethnic groups and its population is over 80 million. It includes Shia Arabs and Shia Persians, it includes as a minority Sunni Arabs and Sunni Persians. It has Shia and Sunni Kurds, and it has the Beluches at the far end of Iran on the Pakistani border which is called Baluchistan, it also has the Zaradashts (worshippers of fire).
In conclusion, the middle east in general will continue to experience political instability and bloodshed as long as there is no one ruler to unite Iraq or any other country experiencing something like Iraq. And in my opinion the Americans will not withdraw from Iraq for at least the coming 15 years. And not until changing the Iranian regime or having insurances from Iran which I think the Iranians will not give because the top of the list of Insurances must include the destroying of the Iranian nuclear program and stopping Hezbollah funding. and these 2 topics; Iran is not ready to let go even if it had to engage in war.
So for the coming 20 years, blood continues in the region unless malicious governments are removed by the people of the land or a rebel after ousting the colonizer and cleaning the region.